Affliction: Banned Picks and Preview UPDATED 7/19
July 18, 2008After all the hype and promotion, Affliction will finally make its MMA debut. This card should be legendary. While you can never predict how a card will work out, the check books of Donald Trump mixed with MMA’s hottest clothing company have insured that this card will be intriguing at worst. The only drawbacks will be the typical new promotion glitches that always happen when a new organization hits the airwaves, and the fact that all of these fights will be in a ring.
As far as the picks go, I’ll be flying solo on this P&P. Not to worry, a little brotherly battle will ensue over the UFC Fight Night pick and preview that will be posted tomorrow morning.
-Brett “The Conqueror” Beverly
Fedor Emelianenko (27-1) vs. Tim Sylvia (26-5)
Emelianenko by submission in 2. Finally we get a chance to see what Fedor can do. It’s about time. His bout with Sylvia is a dream come true for fight fans as former heavyweight champions collide. It should be nice. It should also be Fedor’s day for two reasons: the fight is in a ring and he’s Fedor. Sylvia could shock the world and pick up the victory, but that means he’d have to knockout or last five rounds with Fedor. Not going to happen.
Matt Lindland (20-5) vs. Fabio Negoa (8-3)
Lindland by TKO in 2. Pay close attention, this is how ground-and-pound is done. Fabio Negoa is good, he’s just not that good. Every time he’s been asked to step up in competition, he hasn’t. That’s not good for someone stepping in with “The Law.”
Josh Barnett (25-5) vs. Pedro Rizzo (16-7)
Barnett by submission in 2. Let’s face it, Rizzo is washed up. I know he’s coming off of a victory over Jeff Monson, but “The Snowman” had a striking complex and virtually threw the fight. Barnett won’t do that. His ability to get the takedown and finish the fight should means curtains for the heavy-handed Rizzo.
Andrei Arlovski (12-5) vs. Ben Rothwell (33-5)
Arlovski by unanimous. I’m not sold on Andrei Arlovski. He’s looked good as of late, but he hasn’t looked like “The Pitbull” of old. We could see the “fight not to lose” Arlovski with him eeking out a victory over Rothwell. Big Ben has a lot of talent, but he’s never beaten anyone the caliber of Andrei for a reason.
Renato Sobral (29-7) vs. Mike Whitehead (23-6)
Whitehead by unanimous. Since losing on the Ultimate Fighter finale, Mike Whitehead has been on an epic run by winning twelve fights in a row. Even better, 11 of his 12 victories haven’t made it to the judges score cards. His opponent, Babalu is simply trying to stay relevant in an ever-changing MMA climate. Riding a two-fight win streak, Sobral is always dangerous. He may not be the best in MMA, but if his opponent is any less than perfect, Babalu will strike and submit in a moments notice. Still, overwhelming is the key and it puts the advantage in Whitehead’s corner.
Mark Hominik (15-8) vs. Savant Young (9-7)
Hominek by unanimous. The little engine that couldn’t will do just that when he steps in the ring with Mark Hominek. Savant Young is energetic, exciting and most of all, mediocre. Not to say that his opponent is perfect. Mark Hominik has always had issues with his strategy. Outside of the spotlight, Hominik looks for the kill, but under the lights he tends to bore the living crap out of anyone within eye shot. It seems as if Mr.Hominek becomes afraid to lose, and tries to simply out-point his opponent. Someone should tell Mark that this isn’t a basketball game. Still, he’s simply a better fighter than Young.
UPDATE: Gary Goodridge (23-17-1) vs. Paul Buentello (25-10)
Buentello by TKO in 2. Enter Gary Goodridge. The cancellation of Aleksander is disappointing, but Affliction rebounded well. A Goodridge-Buentello clash is nearly as entertaining. These two should slug it out with Buentello landing more damaging blows. I see Buentello taking this one home in 2.
Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (13-3) vs. Edwin Dewees (35-12)
Nogueira by TKO in 2. I’m not going to lie, I know next to nothing about the younger Nogueira. What I do know is this: there is no way in hell that he’s going to lose to Edwin Dewees. Nogueira has beaten the likes of Dan Henderson, so Dewees shouldn’t be much of a roadblock.
Terry Martin (16-4) vs. Vitor Belfort (16-8)
Belfort by TKO in 2. Terry Martin is a slugger, Vitor Belfort is a striker. The difference will become apparent when the new and improved Belfort uses his dynamic hands to put away Martin in dominating fashion. No, I don’t think Belfort’s back, I simply believe he’s here and better than Martin. Look for fireworks as these two know how to throw leather.
JJ Ambrose (9-1) vs. Mike Pyle (16-5-1)
Pyle by unanimous. There’s one thing about JJ Ambrose’s stellar career that bothers me, he’s yet to face anyone of Pyle’s caliber. Now, I know that Mike Pyle isn’t Georges St.Pierre and that’s exactly my point. Ambrose has a lot of potential and would really benefit by defeating the tough veteran, but it looks to be Pyle’s day. I see a lot of Ambrose on his back and with Pyle picking up the win.
Ray Lizama (5-5) vs. Justin Levens (9-8)
Levens by TKO in 2. I think Affliction management asked, ” How do we make Justin Levens look good?” Unfortunately the response was, ” I know, we’ll put him up against the first guy we see in Home Depot.” Enter Ray Lizama. Then again, Levens has lost eight of his last 10 fights. Take a second and think about that. Maybe the Home Depot strategy is going to work against Levens. I’ll stick to my pick, but with a little less confidence.
Posted by Brett "The Conqueror" Beverly
